Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 15.488841 17.522504 19.793920 22.532203 25.761340 29.469702 34.081623
2025-09-28 12.399513 14.907272 17.933774 21.899918 27.027039 33.524780 42.535346
2025-10-05 11.986579 15.101410 19.094981 24.692108 32.501622 43.274680 59.745851
2025-10-12 11.056504 14.422709 18.939398 25.605686 35.485028 50.086124 74.323080
2025-10-19 9.826878 13.152958 17.769966 24.857536 35.863994 53.045842 83.548479
2025-10-26 9.276668 12.740549 17.716397 25.668748 38.635252 60.091634 101.088689
2025-11-02 8.519602 11.939029 16.985398 25.314279 39.443485 63.980665 113.889556
2025-11-09 7.853184 11.201287 16.261396 24.856284 39.968795 67.406510 126.601445
2025-11-16 7.316069 10.607482 15.693483 24.569302 40.718878 71.331280 141.349436
2025-11-23 6.765804 9.945315 14.951103 23.890423 40.641702 73.613875 153.066419
2025-11-30 6.381063 9.513041 14.540036 23.735088 41.508321 77.928763 170.825752
2025-12-07 5.875887 8.849300 13.688767 22.696745 40.510117 78.123976 178.298198
2025-12-14 5.375468 8.175850 12.796004 21.544319 39.238902 77.739147 184.874212
2025-12-21 5.014742 7.711640 12.229292 20.950487 39.049211 79.813023 199.240056
2025-12-28 5.190358 8.159882 13.289244 23.589533 46.132172 100.744595 279.711001
2026-01-04 5.081707 8.107910 13.444274 24.452151 49.447288 113.212971 340.115933
2026-01-11 4.770467 7.677786 12.867507 23.745777 49.000979 115.499788 364.677386
2026-01-18 4.673031 7.621895 12.985662 24.511677 52.218018 128.934643 441.692258
2026-01-25 4.448947 7.321521 12.613027 24.177051 52.645675 134.282848 487.793618
2026-02-01 4.230892 7.019139 12.214565 23.744595 52.759310 138.721912 532.968127
2026-02-08 4.046950 6.769378 11.901888 23.473558 53.261945 144.585300 589.988084
2026-02-15 3.836450 6.458308 11.446418 22.832218 52.671167 146.674161 628.660981
2026-02-22 3.691529 6.263657 11.212844 22.685436 53.436646 153.730298 702.535734